RB Brasil vs Guaratinguetá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
34.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RB Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2013 |
RBB
1 - 1
SAN
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
AUD
1 - 1
RBB
53%
22%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
CAP
1 - 2
RBB
36%
24%
40%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
RBB
1 - 2
JUV
61%
21%
18%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 0
RBB
36%
24%
40%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 0
SAO
51%
24%
25%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
GRE
0 - 0
GUA
31%
25%
44%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
VEL
1 - 0
GUA
30%
23%
47%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 0
MON
54%
24%
23%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 3
GUA
28%
24%
48%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |