RB Brasil vs Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
23.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RB Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
RBB
1 - 0
POR
18%
23%
58%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
RIO
3 - 2
RBB
33%
24%
42%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
RBB
1 - 0
CAT
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
RBB
2 - 3
GRE
50%
24%
27%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
RIO
1 - 1
RBB
41%
25%
35%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
FER
4 - 0
RIO
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
FER
1 - 2
MON
39%
27%
35%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
RIO
2 - 1
FER
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
FER
1 - 1
COM
43%
26%
31%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
CAP
2 - 1
FER
46%
24%
30%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |