RB Brasil vs Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
23.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RB Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
VEL
1 - 2
RBB
35%
24%
42%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 3
RBB
49%
23%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
RBB
1 - 1
GRÊ
38%
24%
39%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
SEP
1 - 3
RBB
33%
24%
43%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
RBB
0 - 1
AUD
42%
24%
34%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
FER
2 - 1
GRÊ
31%
25%
45%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
SAO
0 - 0
FER
59%
21%
21%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 0
FER
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
FER
1 - 0
RIO
49%
24%
27%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
AME
1 - 2
FER
36%
25%
40%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |