RB Brasil vs América SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
13.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RB Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
RBB
0 - 1
SAO
61%
21%
18%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
RBB
46%
24%
31%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
MON
1 - 1
RBB
29%
24%
47%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
RBB
1 - 0
ATL
55%
22%
23%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 2
RBB
24%
24%
52%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
América SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
SEP
2 - 1
AME
51%
23%
26%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
AME
1 - 0
UNI
41%
25%
35%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
AME
1 - 2
AUD
33%
24%
43%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 1
AME
49%
24%
27%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
PEN
2 - 0
AME
59%
22%
19%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |