Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 3-4
RB Brasil vs América Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
50.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RB Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
COR
4 - 0
RBB
78%
16%
6%
|
59 | 87 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
RBB
1 - 3
ITU
37%
27%
37%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
SAO
3 - 2
RBB
40%
26%
33%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
RBB
2 - 0
NOV
40%
23%
37%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
RBB
0 - 3
PPE
23%
25%
52%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
América Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
AMF
2 - 0
CRZ
28%
27%
45%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
URT
1 - 1
AMF
14%
22%
65%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
AMF
2 - 0
BOA
71%
19%
11%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
AMF
1 - 0
UBE
74%
17%
9%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
TOM
2 - 0
AMF
13%
21%
66%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | -1 |