Thai League 2 Playoffs Ascenso Semi-finals
Global 5-3
Rayong FC vs Ayutthaya United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
28.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayong FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
AYU
2 - 1
RAY
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LAM
1 - 1
RAY
32%
25%
43%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
RAY
8 - 4
PAT
70%
19%
11%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 3
RAY
25%
24%
51%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
KAS
0 - 2
RAY
11%
19%
70%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Ayutthaya United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
AYU
2 - 1
RAY
38%
26%
36%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
AYU
3 - 2
SKT
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
PHU
0 - 1
AYU
26%
25%
49%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
AYU
2 - 0
NFC
46%
26%
28%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
CHI
0 - 4
AYU
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |