Rayo Vallecano vs Real Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
ELC
2 - 1
RAY
31%
26%
43%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
OSA
1 - 5
RAY
33%
26%
41%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
MIR
0 - 1
RAY
25%
25%
50%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
RAY
2 - 0
LEG
66%
20%
14%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
HER
0 - 0
RAY
15%
21%
64%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
VAD
1 - 0
OVI
53%
26%
22%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
VAD
1 - 1
ALA
45%
27%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
OVI
1 - 0
VAD
33%
25%
42%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
VAD
1 - 0
LUG
56%
25%
20%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
PAÇ
1 - 2
VAD
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |