Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 1-3
Rayo Vallecano vs Real Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
19.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1977 |
RAY
1 - 1
PON
73%
18%
9%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1977 |
LEV
0 - 0
RAY
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 1977 |
RAY
1 - 0
OVI
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1977 |
RAY
6 - 0
GER
88%
9%
3%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1977 |
DEP
2 - 0
RAY
46%
28%
26%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1977 |
VAD
2 - 1
GDE
80%
14%
5%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1977 |
UES
1 - 3
VAD
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 1977 |
VAD
3 - 1
FCB
74%
18%
9%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1977 |
ALA
3 - 1
VAD
39%
29%
32%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 1977 |
SPO
2 - 1
VAD
74%
17%
9%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |