Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia Mestalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1968 |
VAD
6 - 1
RAY
58%
23%
18%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1968 |
RAY
4 - 2
RCF
61%
22%
18%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1968 |
BET
4 - 0
RAY
72%
18%
10%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1968 |
RAY
4 - 0
OVI
49%
26%
26%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 1968 |
RAY
5 - 2
ALA
78%
15%
8%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1968 |
VAL
1 - 0
CAD
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1968 |
ONT
3 - 1
VAL
31%
26%
44%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1968 |
VAL
1 - 4
MUR
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1968 |
ELC
1 - 1
VAL
34%
25%
42%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1968 |
VAL
5 - 1
BUR
72%
18%
11%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +2 |