Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 6-2
Rayo Vallecano vs Talavera CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.8%
Win probability
3.44
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.2%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.6%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.9%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.2%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.2%
3.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1978 |
ESP
2 - 1
RAY
72%
18%
11%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
RAY
1 - 3
ATM
31%
26%
43%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1978 |
RAY
3 - 0
LEG
87%
9%
4%
|
70 | 35 | 35 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
SPO
3 - 0
RAY
76%
15%
9%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
RAY
2 - 0
CEL
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Talavera CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
VDB
3 - 1
TAL
46%
26%
28%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
TAL
2 - 0
CAR
55%
27%
18%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 1978 |
CDB
2 - 1
TAL
73%
16%
11%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
SAL
1 - 2
TAL
53%
26%
20%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
TAL
1 - 1
MAN
54%
28%
18%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |