Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 4-7
Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
35.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1968 |
SEV
7 - 3
RAY
73%
16%
11%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
VAD
1 - 0
RAY
64%
22%
15%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1968 |
RAY
4 - 0
GIM
74%
17%
9%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
DEP
0 - 1
RAY
75%
16%
9%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1968 |
RAY
3 - 1
OVI
46%
27%
27%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1968 |
SEV
7 - 3
RAY
73%
16%
11%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
SEV
2 - 2
PON
44%
28%
28%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1968 |
FCB
3 - 0
SEV
81%
13%
6%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
SEV
1 - 0
ELC
37%
27%
36%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1968 |
CCF
1 - 1
SEV
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |