Rayo Vallecano vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
19.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1983 |
CAD
2 - 0
RAY
60%
24%
16%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1983 |
RAY
4 - 3
HER
47%
27%
25%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1983 |
CFC
1 - 1
RAY
43%
29%
28%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1983 |
RAY
2 - 1
CCF
71%
20%
10%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1983 |
OVI
2 - 0
RAY
45%
29%
26%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1983 |
RMC
1 - 0
SAB
67%
20%
13%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1983 |
FCB
2 - 0
RMC
54%
25%
22%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1983 |
RMC
1 - 1
DEP
61%
22%
18%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1983 |
RMC
0 - 0
CAD
55%
24%
22%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1983 |
HER
0 - 2
RMC
63%
22%
14%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +2 |