Rayo Vallecano vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
28.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1991 |
CEL
1 - 0
RAY
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1991 |
RAY
1 - 0
COM
62%
23%
15%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1991 |
RAY
0 - 0
MAL
52%
23%
25%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1991 |
RAC
0 - 0
RAY
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1991 |
RMC
3 - 1
RAY
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1991 |
MUR
0 - 1
RMC
66%
21%
12%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1991 |
AVI
3 - 2
MUR
35%
28%
37%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1991 |
FIG
2 - 3
MUR
53%
22%
24%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1991 |
MUR
1 - 0
BET
53%
26%
22%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1991 |
ATH
0 - 1
MUR
43%
27%
31%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |