Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
73.1%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
MAL
1 - 1
RAY
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
RAY
2 - 1
VIL
32%
27%
41%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ATH
1 - 0
RAY
63%
20%
17%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
RAY
2 - 0
GET
46%
24%
30%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
GRA
2 - 2
RAY
32%
25%
43%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
RMA
3 - 0
VIL
83%
12%
6%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
GET
1 - 5
RMA
7%
16%
77%
|
94 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2016 |
RMA
3 - 0
WOL
82%
12%
6%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
RMA
4 - 0
EIB
90%
8%
3%
|
94 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
WOL
2 - 0
RMA
15%
20%
65%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |