Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
53.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1993 |
SPO
2 - 0
RAY
55%
25%
19%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1993 |
RAY
1 - 1
CEL
60%
24%
16%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1993 |
MER
1 - 0
RAY
43%
25%
32%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1993 |
VCF
3 - 1
RAY
76%
15%
9%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1993 |
RAY
3 - 1
LOG
51%
27%
23%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1993 |
RMA
5 - 0
LLE
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1993 |
TIR
1 - 1
RMA
26%
24%
50%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1993 |
CDT
0 - 0
RMA
28%
25%
47%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1993 |
RMA
2 - 1
RAC
83%
11%
5%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1993 |
ATM
0 - 0
RMA
43%
24%
33%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |