Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
64.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.9%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1989 |
FCB
7 - 1
RAY
84%
12%
5%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1989 |
RAY
0 - 0
MLL
54%
26%
21%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1989 |
CDT
2 - 2
RAY
61%
20%
19%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1989 |
CAS
1 - 0
RAY
49%
27%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1989 |
RAY
1 - 1
OVI
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1989 |
ACM
2 - 0
RMA
40%
26%
33%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1989 |
RMA
4 - 0
MAL
91%
7%
2%
|
91 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1989 |
FCB
3 - 1
RMA
40%
26%
35%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1989 |
RMA
4 - 1
CAD
91%
7%
2%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1989 |
RMA
6 - 0
SPO
98%
2%
0%
|
91 | 61 | 30 | 0 |