Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 1-1
Rayo Vallecano vs Racing Ferrol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.2%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.2%
6.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1973 |
RAY
0 - 4
LEV
75%
18%
8%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1973 |
SEV
3 - 0
RAY
67%
21%
12%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1973 |
RCF
1 - 1
RAY
25%
26%
50%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1973 |
RAY
3 - 0
CDT
58%
25%
17%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 1973 |
CDO
0 - 0
RAY
45%
28%
28%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1973 |
AVI
1 - 0
RCF
37%
31%
33%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1973 |
RCF
6 - 1
CAU
67%
22%
11%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1973 |
RCF
1 - 1
RAY
25%
26%
50%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1973 |
ZAM
1 - 0
RCF
43%
29%
28%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 1973 |
RCF
1 - 1
LEM
65%
23%
13%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |