Rayo Vallecano vs CD Ourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
17.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
19.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.1%
0
21.3%
8.2%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2007 |
ULP
4 - 0
RAY
29%
29%
42%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
RAY
1 - 2
LAN
59%
25%
16%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
PON
1 - 0
RAY
45%
26%
30%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
RAY
0 - 3
CEL
69%
22%
9%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
ATB
2 - 4
RAY
21%
26%
53%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2007 |
CDO
1 - 2
SSR
34%
28%
39%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
ALC
1 - 0
CDO
56%
24%
20%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
CDO
2 - 3
GIM
60%
22%
18%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
PUE
3 - 1
CDO
58%
24%
18%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
RAC
1 - 0
CDO
40%
27%
33%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |