Rayo Vallecano vs CD Ourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
7.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1997 |
LLE
3 - 1
RAY
43%
28%
29%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1997 |
RAY
3 - 3
UDL
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1997 |
RAY
0 - 1
EXT
60%
21%
19%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1997 |
EIB
0 - 1
RAY
36%
31%
33%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1997 |
RAY
0 - 0
ALB
55%
23%
23%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1997 |
CDO
2 - 0
HER
36%
28%
36%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1997 |
OSA
1 - 1
CDO
56%
26%
18%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1997 |
CDO
0 - 1
CEL
22%
26%
52%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1997 |
CDO
2 - 0
LEV
47%
27%
27%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1997 |
ALA
0 - 1
CDO
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |