Rayo Vallecano vs CD Ourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
11.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1959 |
LEV
2 - 0
RAY
73%
16%
11%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1959 |
RAY
4 - 0
SFE
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1959 |
PUL
2 - 3
RAY
70%
18%
13%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1959 |
RAY
1 - 4
CCF
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1959 |
MLL
0 - 0
RAY
58%
21%
21%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1959 |
BAS
0 - 0
CDO
72%
17%
12%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1959 |
CDO
4 - 0
BAR
51%
22%
28%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 1959 |
CEL
1 - 1
CDO
79%
14%
7%
|
42 | 69 | 27 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1959 |
CDO
4 - 1
RCF
50%
22%
29%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | +3 |
| 18 Oct. 1959 |
RAC
1 - 1
CDO
77%
14%
9%
|
39 | 59 | 20 | 0 |