Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 2-0
Rayo Vallecano vs Oberena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.3%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.2%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9%
3.6%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1970 |
BET
0 - 0
RAY
67%
21%
13%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1970 |
RAY
0 - 0
UES
83%
13%
4%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1970 |
ONT
1 - 0
RAY
40%
29%
31%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1970 |
OBE
0 - 1
RAY
19%
25%
57%
|
66 | 24 | 42 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1970 |
RAY
1 - 0
PUE
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Oberena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1970 |
CHA
2 - 4
OBE
75%
16%
10%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1970 |
OBE
2 - 0
MUT
60%
21%
19%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1970 |
OBE
0 - 1
AND
50%
24%
26%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1970 |
OBE
0 - 1
RAY
19%
25%
57%
|
24 | 66 | 42 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1970 |
ATL
2 - 0
OBE
41%
25%
35%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | -1 |