Rayo Vallecano vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
24%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2010 |
RAY
4 - 0
REC
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2010 |
HER
2 - 1
RAY
67%
20%
14%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2010 |
RAY
3 - 2
CCF
66%
21%
14%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
LEV
2 - 1
RAY
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
RAY
0 - 0
SLA
65%
20%
15%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2010 |
NUM
1 - 0
ALA
64%
22%
15%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
NUM
0 - 2
ZAR
28%
26%
46%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
NUM
0 - 1
OSA
34%
28%
38%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2010 |
CAD
4 - 2
NUM
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2010 |
NUM
1 - 0
VIL
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |