Europa League 1/64
Global 2-1
Rayo Vallecano vs Molde FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
21.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2000 |
OSA
2 - 2
RAY
29%
26%
45%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
RAY
0 - 0
ZAR
44%
26%
30%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2000 |
MFK
0 - 1
RAY
45%
25%
30%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
VIL
1 - 5
RAY
32%
26%
42%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2000 |
RAY
6 - 0
CON
80%
12%
8%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Molde FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
MFK
1 - 1
BRY
73%
17%
11%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2000 |
MFK
0 - 1
RAY
45%
25%
30%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
VIF
1 - 5
MFK
28%
23%
49%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2000 |
IKS
3 - 4
MFK
26%
23%
51%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2000 |
MFK
7 - 1
BOG
54%
22%
24%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |