Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 4-3
Rayo Vallecano vs Mérida CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.2%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.9%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
+5
8%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.9%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.3%
3.5%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1980 |
GRA
1 - 3
RAY
43%
27%
31%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1980 |
RAY
3 - 1
LIN
76%
16%
9%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1980 |
ZAR
3 - 2
RAY
68%
19%
13%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1980 |
RAY
1 - 2
ALM
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1980 |
FCB
2 - 1
RAY
75%
16%
9%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Mérida CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1980 |
ELD
2 - 0
MER
78%
16%
6%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1980 |
MER
1 - 1
LLE
35%
34%
31%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 1980 |
AFC
2 - 2
MER
48%
27%
25%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1980 |
MER
1 - 0
EXT
69%
20%
11%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1980 |
UDS
1 - 2
MER
54%
26%
21%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |