Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 4-3
Rayo Vallecano vs Levante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
11.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1989 |
OSA
2 - 1
RAY
62%
23%
15%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1989 |
RAY
2 - 1
VAD
39%
28%
33%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1989 |
LEV
2 - 1
RAY
44%
25%
31%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1989 |
ZAR
3 - 0
RAY
66%
21%
13%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 1989 |
RAY
2 - 1
DEP
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Levante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1989 |
LEV
2 - 0
SSC
45%
29%
26%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1989 |
PAL
1 - 1
LEV
40%
23%
37%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1989 |
LEV
2 - 1
RAY
44%
25%
31%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1989 |
LEV
1 - 4
XER
50%
27%
23%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 1989 |
LEV
4 - 2
LOR
79%
16%
6%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |