Rayo Vallecano vs Leganés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
15.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
SSR
1 - 2
RAY
16%
24%
60%
|
75 | 47 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
RAY
1 - 0
NAV
79%
15%
6%
|
75 | 41 | 34 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
ALC
0 - 1
RAY
15%
24%
61%
|
75 | 51 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
RAY
1 - 1
CEL
77%
17%
6%
|
75 | 48 | 27 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
CDO
1 - 0
RAY
17%
25%
58%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Leganés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
LEG
3 - 0
MLL
71%
20%
10%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
FUE
1 - 2
LEG
20%
26%
54%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
LEG
3 - 0
ART
74%
18%
8%
|
66 | 38 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
ALC
0 - 1
LEG
23%
27%
50%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
LEG
2 - 1
PPJ
67%
21%
11%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |