Rayo Vallecano vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.8%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
22.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1986 |
RAY
0 - 2
CAS
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1986 |
MUR
0 - 0
RAY
72%
17%
11%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1986 |
RAY
2 - 0
CDT
52%
26%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1986 |
OVI
2 - 1
RAY
54%
26%
20%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1986 |
RAY
1 - 2
DEP
54%
26%
20%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1986 |
HER
0 - 2
ZAR
26%
25%
49%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1986 |
ZAR
2 - 1
HER
82%
12%
6%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1986 |
RAC
4 - 1
HER
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
HER
1 - 1
ESP
37%
28%
35%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
VCF
3 - 1
HER
63%
22%
16%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |