Rayo Vallecano vs Girona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
26.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1959 |
RAY
1 - 1
HER
42%
25%
34%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1959 |
BAS
2 - 1
RAY
69%
18%
13%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 1959 |
RAY
2 - 1
SAB
31%
29%
40%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | +2 |
| 08 Feb. 1959 |
RAC
0 - 0
RAY
74%
16%
10%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1959 |
RAY
2 - 1
DEP
27%
26%
47%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Girona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1959 |
GIR
4 - 2
ELC
41%
23%
36%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1959 |
GIR
1 - 0
VAD
26%
25%
49%
|
50 | 76 | 26 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 1959 |
AVI
2 - 0
GIR
70%
16%
14%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1959 |
CDC
5 - 1
GIR
74%
15%
10%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1959 |
GIR
2 - 2
BAS
57%
22%
21%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |