Rayo Vallecano vs Girona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
14%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1957 |
RAY
2 - 0
SAB
38%
27%
35%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1957 |
LOG
1 - 2
RAY
62%
19%
19%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1956 |
2 - 0
RAY
66%
19%
16%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 1956 |
RAY
1 - 0
OVI
30%
25%
45%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1956 |
AVI
1 - 0
RAY
73%
15%
12%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Girona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1957 |
GIR
0 - 0
LOG
71%
16%
13%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1957 |
GIR
3 - 0
ALA
35%
26%
39%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | +2 |
| 30 Dec. 1956 |
RAC
1 - 1
GIR
81%
12%
7%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 1956 |
GIR
0 - 1
SAB
37%
26%
37%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1956 |
TER
3 - 1
GIR
74%
15%
11%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |