Rayo Vallecano vs Gimnàstic Tarragona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
14.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1975 |
EIB
0 - 2
RAY
25%
25%
50%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1975 |
FCB
2 - 0
RAY
44%
28%
29%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1975 |
UES
3 - 2
RAY
59%
24%
18%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 1975 |
RAY
2 - 0
ALA
78%
16%
7%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 1975 |
RAY
2 - 0
EIB
87%
10%
3%
|
61 | 37 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Gimnàstic Tarragona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1975 |
GIM
5 - 0
LUG
75%
16%
8%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1975 |
GIM
0 - 0
UES
50%
29%
21%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1975 |
GIM
1 - 0
BAR
51%
27%
23%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1975 |
RAC
2 - 0
GIM
73%
18%
9%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1975 |
LUG
1 - 1
GIM
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |