Rayo Vallecano vs Gimnàstic Tarragona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
16.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1973 |
RAY
0 - 1
VCF
21%
24%
55%
|
56 | 83 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1973 |
PON
2 - 1
RAY
51%
28%
21%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1973 |
OSA
4 - 2
RAY
48%
27%
25%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1973 |
RAY
2 - 1
CDB
81%
13%
6%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1973 |
RAY
2 - 1
MLL
50%
28%
22%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Gimnàstic Tarragona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1973 |
GIM
0 - 1
MLL
50%
28%
22%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1973 |
BAR
3 - 0
GIM
56%
26%
18%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1973 |
BAR
6 - 0
GIM
53%
23%
24%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -2 |
| 21 Jan. 1973 |
GIM
2 - 1
UES
49%
29%
22%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1973 |
SEV
2 - 0
GIM
75%
17%
8%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |