Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 7-2
Rayo Vallecano vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.7%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.1%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
10.6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.1%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9%
3.3%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1977 |
DEP
2 - 0
RAY
46%
28%
26%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1977 |
RAY
6 - 0
CCF
61%
24%
16%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 1977 |
TER
2 - 2
RAY
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1977 |
GDE
0 - 1
RAY
38%
27%
34%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1977 |
RAY
2 - 0
UES
68%
21%
11%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1977 |
GER
1 - 2
CAU
68%
23%
9%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1977 |
RCF
0 - 1
GER
71%
21%
9%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 1977 |
GER
2 - 1
GIM
60%
26%
14%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 1977 |
GER
3 - 1
ARE
62%
23%
15%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1977 |
LAR
0 - 1
GER
40%
29%
31%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |