Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 5-1
Rayo Vallecano vs Galáctico Pegaso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.1%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.1%
5.9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1982 |
RAY
3 - 2
XER
69%
21%
10%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1982 |
ATB
0 - 0
RAY
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1982 |
RAY
1 - 1
MUR
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1982 |
GDE
0 - 2
RAY
41%
28%
32%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1982 |
ELC
2 - 1
RAY
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Galáctico Pegaso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1982 |
ATM
0 - 1
PEG
29%
26%
45%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1982 |
PEG
1 - 1
ARA
64%
20%
16%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1982 |
PNT
1 - 2
PEG
33%
27%
40%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1982 |
CDZ
2 - 2
PEG
46%
24%
30%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1982 |
PEG
1 - 1
ALC
75%
16%
9%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -1 |