Rayo Vallecano vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
24.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1979 |
VCF
2 - 1
RAY
75%
16%
10%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1979 |
RAY
1 - 2
DBN
86%
9%
4%
|
72 | 33 | 39 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1979 |
RAY
2 - 1
ATH
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1979 |
DBN
0 - 2
RAY
30%
27%
43%
|
72 | 35 | 37 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
UDL
3 - 0
RAY
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1979 |
ESP
0 - 0
HER
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1979 |
ESP
6 - 0
CDM
83%
12%
5%
|
77 | 23 | 54 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1979 |
VCF
5 - 1
ESP
67%
19%
14%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
ESP
1 - 2
RSO
46%
27%
27%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1979 |
CDM
2 - 2
ESP
28%
27%
45%
|
78 | 24 | 54 | 0 |