Rayo Vallecano vs Ilicitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
9.3%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1970 |
RAY
1 - 1
GRA
48%
23%
29%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1970 |
GRA
1 - 0
RAY
59%
23%
19%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1970 |
MUR
3 - 1
RAY
44%
29%
27%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1970 |
RAY
0 - 0
ESP
41%
29%
30%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1970 |
CDO
0 - 0
RAY
29%
31%
40%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Ilicitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1970 |
ELC
0 - 2
MAL
33%
29%
39%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1970 |
CCF
2 - 1
ELC
72%
20%
8%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1970 |
ELC
0 - 1
OSA
61%
21%
19%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1970 |
VAD
1 - 1
ELC
75%
17%
8%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1970 |
ELC
2 - 7
SPO
31%
27%
42%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | -1 |