Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 4-0
Rayo Vallecano vs Eibar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.9%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.6%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.5%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.7%
3.4%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1975 |
RAY
1 - 0
BAR
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1974 |
REC
0 - 1
RAY
36%
30%
34%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 1974 |
RAY
2 - 0
RAC
46%
27%
28%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1974 |
MLL
3 - 0
RAY
54%
26%
19%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1974 |
RAY
2 - 1
CUL
70%
19%
11%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Eibar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1975 |
EIB
3 - 0
ARG
85%
10%
5%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1974 |
GUA
2 - 0
EIB
44%
27%
28%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1974 |
EIB
2 - 2
RMC
56%
27%
18%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1974 |
EIB
2 - 0
RUN
67%
19%
14%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1974 |
CLH
3 - 1
EIB
33%
29%
38%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | -2 |