Rayo Vallecano vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
26.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
CEU
2 - 0
RAY
66%
19%
16%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1961 |
SSC
0 - 2
RAY
59%
21%
20%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
RAY
0 - 1
PUL
48%
23%
29%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
CDT
2 - 1
RAY
70%
18%
12%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
RAY
2 - 0
MUR
44%
27%
29%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
SFE
3 - 1
HER
49%
25%
25%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
SFE
2 - 2
CAS
70%
18%
12%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
MUR
3 - 2
SFE
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
SFE
3 - 0
UDL
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1961 |
EXT
1 - 1
SFE
58%
21%
21%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |