Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 2-1
Rayo Vallecano vs Crevillente Deportivo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.1%
Win probability
3.33
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.8%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.2%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.2%
4.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
RAY
2 - 2
UDL
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1979 |
FCB
9 - 0
RAY
85%
11%
5%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1979 |
CRE
0 - 0
RAY
28%
26%
46%
|
71 | 35 | 36 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
RAY
1 - 1
RMA
24%
24%
51%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 1978 |
SLA
1 - 1
RAY
57%
25%
18%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Crevillente Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
CRE
1 - 0
CON
53%
27%
20%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1979 |
ATB
1 - 2
CRE
58%
25%
18%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 1979 |
CRE
0 - 0
RAY
28%
26%
46%
|
35 | 71 | 36 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
CRE
0 - 0
ALC
48%
30%
22%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1978 |
ALM
2 - 2
CRE
67%
22%
12%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |