Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 2-1
Rayo Vallecano vs Valdepeñas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.2%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.9%
5.9%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1973 |
RAY
2 - 1
MLL
50%
28%
22%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1973 |
UES
2 - 0
RAY
61%
25%
15%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1973 |
CDB
0 - 0
RAY
33%
26%
41%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1973 |
RAY
0 - 1
ELC
38%
31%
31%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1972 |
SEV
3 - 0
RAY
73%
18%
9%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Valdepeñas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1973 |
EXT
2 - 0
CDB
56%
26%
19%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1973 |
CDB
1 - 1
ELD
67%
21%
12%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1973 |
CDB
0 - 0
RAY
33%
26%
41%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1973 |
SEV
2 - 0
CDB
49%
28%
24%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -2 |
| 31 Dec. 1972 |
CDB
1 - 0
POR
70%
20%
10%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |