Rayo Vallecano vs CD Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.9%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
23.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1986 |
LOG
1 - 0
RAY
60%
24%
16%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1986 |
RAY
1 - 0
REC
42%
29%
29%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1986 |
HER
0 - 0
RAY
57%
26%
18%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1986 |
DEP
3 - 1
RAY
62%
23%
15%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1986 |
RAY
0 - 0
OVI
49%
28%
23%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1986 |
MAL
2 - 1
XER
63%
24%
13%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1986 |
CEL
3 - 2
MAL
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1986 |
MAL
0 - 1
VCF
43%
27%
29%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1986 |
MAL
0 - 1
FIG
55%
23%
22%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1986 |
RMC
0 - 0
MAL
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |