Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 3-2
Rayo Vallecano vs CD Don Benito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.4%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.1%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.9%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.4%
4.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1979 |
RAY
2 - 1
ATH
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1979 |
DBN
0 - 2
RAY
30%
27%
43%
|
71 | 35 | 36 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
UDL
3 - 0
RAY
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
RAY
4 - 1
ATM
34%
26%
40%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
SEV
1 - 1
RAY
65%
21%
14%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CD Don Benito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1979 |
TCF
2 - 0
DBN
46%
26%
28%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1979 |
DBN
0 - 2
RAY
30%
27%
43%
|
35 | 71 | 36 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
DBN
4 - 0
CDS
76%
16%
9%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
CIE
2 - 0
DBN
53%
24%
23%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
DBN
5 - 3
PLA
71%
18%
11%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |