Rayo Vallecano vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
23%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1986 |
MUR
0 - 0
RAY
72%
17%
11%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1986 |
RAY
2 - 0
CDT
52%
26%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1986 |
OVI
2 - 1
RAY
54%
26%
20%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1986 |
RAY
1 - 2
DEP
54%
26%
20%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
RMC
1 - 0
RAY
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1986 |
CAS
5 - 1
REC
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1986 |
CFC
1 - 1
CAS
44%
30%
26%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1986 |
CAS
0 - 0
ELC
62%
22%
17%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1986 |
SAB
1 - 1
CAS
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
CAS
0 - 0
ATH
61%
21%
18%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |