Rayo Vallecano vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.3%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.7%
7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
UDL
2 - 1
RAY
72%
17%
11%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1960 |
RAY
4 - 3
CAD
59%
21%
20%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1960 |
CCF
3 - 2
RAY
77%
14%
9%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1960 |
CAA
0 - 0
RAY
52%
23%
26%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
RAY
4 - 2
MUR
50%
26%
25%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
CAS
1 - 2
CDT
35%
27%
38%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1960 |
VAL
1 - 1
CAS
80%
13%
7%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1960 |
CAS
1 - 2
CEU
33%
26%
41%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1960 |
GAN
0 - 1
CAS
66%
18%
16%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
CAS
1 - 0
OLI
43%
24%
32%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +2 |