Rayo Vallecano vs Castillo CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
17.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
8.6%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2006 |
UDL
1 - 0
RAY
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
RAY
2 - 2
PPJ
67%
22%
11%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
ATB
0 - 1
RAY
27%
27%
46%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
RAY
2 - 0
LEG
61%
24%
15%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
ALC
2 - 3
RAY
27%
26%
47%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Castillo CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2006 |
CAS
1 - 0
MST
39%
30%
31%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
FUE
0 - 0
CAS
57%
25%
18%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
CAS
1 - 0
PON
13%
23%
64%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
MEL
4 - 2
CAS
56%
25%
19%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
CAS
0 - 1
CEL
38%
30%
33%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |