Rayo Vallecano vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
16.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1967 |
SPO
2 - 1
RAY
82%
12%
6%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1967 |
RAY
3 - 2
RCF
53%
23%
24%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1967 |
UPL
2 - 1
RAY
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1967 |
RAY
0 - 0
SDI
67%
19%
14%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1967 |
GIM
2 - 1
RAY
43%
25%
32%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1967 |
BUR
1 - 1
VAD
45%
27%
29%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1967 |
CEL
1 - 1
BUR
70%
18%
12%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1967 |
BUR
1 - 1
RAC
49%
23%
28%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1967 |
PUE
2 - 0
BUR
60%
21%
19%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 1967 |
BUR
1 - 1
OSA
41%
27%
33%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |