Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 1-6
Rayo Vallecano vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
43.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1981 |
CAS
2 - 0
RAY
48%
27%
25%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1981 |
RMC
0 - 2
RAY
54%
24%
21%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1981 |
ATM
2 - 0
RAY
76%
15%
9%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1981 |
RAY
3 - 0
ATB
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1981 |
RAY
3 - 0
ATM
28%
26%
46%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1981 |
FCB
4 - 1
RMC
88%
9%
4%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1981 |
RMC
3 - 5
FCB
24%
24%
53%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1981 |
SEV
1 - 1
FCB
37%
28%
35%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1981 |
FCB
0 - 1
ATH
68%
18%
13%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1981 |
ALM
2 - 5
FCB
27%
27%
46%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |