Rayo Vallecano vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
56.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
ELC
2 - 0
RAY
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2014 |
LEV
1 - 0
RAY
49%
25%
27%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
GET
0 - 1
RAY
54%
24%
23%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2014 |
RAY
0 - 0
LEV
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2014 |
RAY
2 - 5
VIL
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
ATM
1 - 0
ATH
77%
16%
8%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ATM
1 - 1
SEV
69%
18%
13%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2014 |
ATM
2 - 0
VCF
71%
18%
11%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
ATM
0 - 0
FCB
26%
22%
51%
|
93 | 97 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2014 |
VCF
1 - 1
ATM
34%
26%
40%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |