Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 3-2
Rayo Vallecano vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
46.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1981 |
GDE
0 - 0
RAY
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1981 |
RAY
0 - 0
LEV
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1981 |
AGD
1 - 0
RAY
39%
28%
33%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1981 |
RAY
1 - 1
OVI
66%
21%
13%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1981 |
SAB
0 - 0
RAY
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1981 |
ATM
0 - 0
OSA
76%
16%
8%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1981 |
RMA
2 - 0
ATM
75%
16%
10%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1981 |
VCF
1 - 1
ATM
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1981 |
ATM
1 - 2
ZAR
71%
18%
11%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1981 |
SPO
3 - 0
ATM
54%
24%
22%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | -1 |