Rayo Vallecano vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
39.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1978 |
FCB
1 - 1
RAY
85%
10%
5%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1978 |
RAY
4 - 2
BET
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 1977 |
REC
3 - 1
RAY
54%
22%
24%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
RSO
1 - 1
RAY
74%
17%
10%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1977 |
RAY
0 - 0
REC
72%
16%
12%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1978 |
ATM
3 - 1
ELC
77%
15%
8%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1978 |
SPO
3 - 2
ATM
43%
26%
30%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
ATM
2 - 1
BUR
78%
15%
8%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
RMA
4 - 2
ATM
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1977 |
ATM
2 - 1
ESP
69%
18%
13%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | +1 |