Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 2-2
Rayo Vallecano vs Atlético B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
10.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1988 |
MOL
2 - 2
RAY
30%
32%
38%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1988 |
RAY
2 - 2
REC
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1988 |
ATB
1 - 0
RAY
40%
27%
34%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 1988 |
RAY
1 - 1
MUR
50%
23%
27%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 May. 1988 |
MUR
3 - 0
RAY
68%
19%
13%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Atlético B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1988 |
MAR
1 - 1
ATB
20%
28%
52%
|
55 | 24 | 31 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1988 |
ATB
1 - 1
LEG
66%
22%
12%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1988 |
ATB
1 - 0
RAY
40%
27%
34%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1988 |
ATB
1 - 1
AVI
68%
22%
11%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1988 |
ALC
1 - 0
ATB
35%
29%
36%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -1 |